交易员法老

Pharaoh Trading good buddy @比特帝法老唯一助理

Pharaoh's Market Watch: Continuing to observe tonight whether U.S. Treasury bonds remain at high levels! What’s going on with the Ethereum Foundation? The resignation pace this year is faster than cutting chives! Eight core researchers have left, including Julian Ma and Karl Bick, each departure so clean and decisive, leaving a bunch of token holders confused and exposed. This is not good. The market was already a bit suspicious of EF’s (Ethereum Foundation) elusive governance, and now with these departures, everyone feels even more uncertain: Is this a sign of a "soft exit"? Even worse, DeFi is in a dire state. From the start of the year until now, the total value locked (TVL) has been slashed by 41%. It’s like running a restaurant where the chef leaves, and then all the customers run away—how can the business survive? Currently, ETH is like a punching bag, repeatedly hitting the $2140 floor, trying to look up at the sky? Its neck is as stiff as rebar, unable to lift at all. Analysts are even harsher, drawing a 7-week "bottom search roadmap" with a target price of $1690. To summarize the current situation: Foundation: People are leaving. Funds: Are fleeing. Price: Lying flat on the floor. In this market, holders can only comfort themselves: It’s okay, at least Vitalik is still here, right? $DOGE $SOL $LAB #美债利率近19年新高：风险资产全线承压

Pharaoh's Market Watch: Brothers, stop staring at the K-line charts until your eyes go blind. The Nvidia earnings report early this morning—just look at this chart and you'll get it. The data is indeed top-notch, with revenue forecasts hitting $79 billion, and those gamblers on Polymarket are betting with a 97% probability on exceeding expectations. But what’s the use? It’s already priced in, brother! The market’s appetite is pickier than anyone’s; this "beat expectations" might just barely pass the threshold. Let’s review this "graduation photo" market: • Last May’s earnings were good, but the stock only rose 3.25%, like scratching an itch; • On February 25 this year, the data exploded, right? But the next day it dropped 5.46% straight down. This is a classic case of "good news priced in, capital retreating." Market makers are just waiting to kill options and harvest profits at this moment. So here’s some advice: on the night the earnings come out, don’t get hyped and catch a falling knife—that’s definitely not a good entry point. But! (Here’s the key) Zoom out and look: the big AI companies are still aggressively investing in infrastructure, and this narrative can continue. Many analysts are calling for the stock to break $300 next year. So don’t rush; once the "seizure-like" volatility from this earnings report settles, Nvidia will still be the core AI asset, the same core asset. The strategy is simple: keep your hands off in the short term, wait for the dip to fill in the long term. $DOGE $ETH $ETH #美联储会议纪要+英伟达财报：5月20同日公布

Live stream this afternoon Lots of valuable content Many opportunities😎🥸$DOGE $SOL $LAB

77635 Bitcoin confidently hits 800 dollars with eyes closed Awesome $ETH $DOGE

This afternoon's live broadcast room, short-term BTC can be understood, $ETH $BTC $SOL

Pharaoh's Market Watch: After the market closes tonight, Old Huang (Jensen Huang) is about to release the Q1 earnings report! This isn't just an ordinary earnings report; it's basically the "final exam" for the global AI and crypto communities. When Nvidia sneezes, the entire risk market catches a cold 🤧. Let me break it down for you in Pharaoh's style: 1. How impressive are these numbers? The market's appetite is ridiculously huge, with Q1 revenue targeting $80 billion and Q2 guidance aiming for $87 billion+. Although the past four quarters all beat expectations, the stock price dropped the next day three times — this is called "good news priced in is bad news," where expectations are so high that any news can trigger a sell-off. 2. What's up with the China region? This is a big question mark. If high-end cards can't be sold there, what happens to the inventory? Are there new strategies? This signal directly affects the survival of many manufacturers. 3. The crypto world will shake too Historical experience: when Nvidia is bullish and the AI sector soars, BTC and ETH usually follow suit; if results fall short, risk assets collectively "pay the price." Anyway, volatility will definitely explode tonight. Full-position brothers, remember to fasten your seatbelts, or you might not even have time to shout "F*** your respect." Do you think the boss can keep "blowing up"? Let's chat in the comments! Follow Pharaoh, and your wealth won't get lost! $BTC $DOGE $SOL #美联储会议纪要+英伟达财报：5月20同日公布

Pharaoh's Market Watch: 🎤 Pharaoh's Macro Economy Talk Show: US Treasury yields hit new highs, BTC takes a hit Brothers, recently US Treasury yields have skyrocketed again, the 30-year broke 5%, and the 10-year hit 4.6%+. At times like this, don’t just stare at the candlesticks and get excited. Someone asked: "Pharaoh, why does Bitcoin drop when US Treasuries rise?" Today I’ll make it clear for you, this is actually pretty funny. 1. Opportunity Cost: Why reject free interest and hold a “zero-coupon hedgehog”? US Treasuries are now nearly risk-free with stable cash flow. Bitcoin? Zero interest, no dividends, and volatility high enough to treat low blood pressure. Money is smart; if Treasuries can give 5%, who wants to hold BTC out in the cold? Funds flow away, got it? 2. Global Liquidity: The faucet is tightening High long-term bond yields mean the market is pricing in "higher rates for longer." Borrowing in USD gets more expensive, and risk appetite immediately shrinks. High-beta assets like Bitcoin get hit first as a sign of respect. 3. Bitcoin is actually a “long-duration asset” It has no cash flow, priced solely on future narratives and scarcity premium. When long-term rates rise, the discount rate for the future goes up, pushing present value down! This is the same as growth stocks, even worse since Bitcoin has no earnings. 4. Safe-haven narrative gets overshadowed Bitcoin used to be called “digital gold,” but now US Treasuries + USD have explosive appeal. Even gold is being crushed by real rates; Bitcoin looks more like a risk speculation asset. It can’t hold the safe-haven hat and gets sold off first as a risk asset. 📌 Pharaoh’s Summary: In the short term (1-3 months), high long-term yields suppress risk appetite, so BTC will likely oscillate weakly, testing support around 72,000–75,000. In the medium term (3-6 months), watch if real rates peak, whether the Fed dares to cut, and if inflation falls. Keep an eye on these indicators: 10-year US Treasury yield, real rates (10Y-TIPS), USD index, BTC ETF fund flows, MOVE (bond market volatility). In a nutshell: A long bull market in US Treasuries = bearish pressure on Bitcoin, but not a one-way drop; expect high volatility and a downward oscillation until rate expectations ease. Follow Pharaoh, and your wealth won’t get lost! $ETH $BTC $DOGE #美债利率近19年新高：风险资产全线承压 #预测市场合规战：CFTC四连诉为其正名

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Pharaoh's Market Watch: If the US-Iran negotiations break down, then the market's only positive factor will turn into a negative one. BTC faces strong resistance today at 77500-78000. If it reaches around here, short short short. Just hold the palace and do it $BTC $DOGE $DOGE #推迟打击非停战：美伊谈判窗口随时关闭

Pharaoh's Market Watch: Pharaoh just took a look at the news, and it's mostly bearish. The Samsung strike countdown is on, and Nvidia is about to release its earnings report. As long as the results fall short of expectations or just meet them, it’s like a Damocles sword hanging over the crypto world! Some people, as soon as their holdings rise a bit, start shaking like a leaf— "Oh no, will it drop back down again?" I feel exhausted just watching them, what’s there to be afraid of! If you only focus on those few measly gains in your account, then your whole life is suited for selling sunflower seeds at the street corner. Look at the liquidation heatmap— Around 74,000, it’s all longs waiting to get liquidated and sell their positions! Right now, the funding rate is absurdly positive, +10%, you can almost hear the money laughing while lying there. To the longs who FOMO rushed in, I can only say: Good luck That familiar smell of a bear market is back— Brothers, hold your hands steady, don’t make rash moves, the real bottom fishing will be in October. Don’t go all-in on spot trading or try fancy moves, or you’ll just be handing the exchange your year-end bonus. 📌 Pharaoh’s Summary: The market isn’t trying to scare you, it’s filtering you. Those who can’t hold, get out; those who can, feast. This time, are you ready to get out or feast!? $BTC $ETH $DOGE #三星芯片罢工：48小时倒计时 #美联储会议纪要+英伟达财报：5月20同日公布