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🚨 PI IS ENTERING THE MOST DANGEROUS PHASE SINCE LISTING
PI is currently hovering around $0.14 on OKX — down more than 95% from its ATH of about $3.
And the worrying thing is that this drop no longer looks like a short-term dump…
This is a sign that the market is gradually losing confidence.
What is happening?
• Huge unlock pressure
PI’s supply continues to be unlocked steadily every month. When the amount of coins flooding the market grows faster than buying demand, the price is almost always pushed down.
• Extremely weak volume
A project wanting to maintain its price needs new capital to absorb selling pressure. But PI’s current volume is too low compared to its massive community size.
This means even a relatively small amount of selling can strongly drag the price down.
• Utility not strong enough to create real demand
Pi App Studio and Web3 integration with OKX are positive signals.
But the current crypto market no longer pays for “future promises.”
Investors want to see:
- real users
- real merchants
- real trading volume
- a functioning ecosystem
While currently, most of it is still just expectations.
• Community sentiment is starting to worsen
On X/Twitter, more and more posts complain about:
- slow development progress
- too much unlocking
- adoption not matching the community size
When sentiment turns bearish, even long-term holders begin to waver.
Technically speaking:
$0.15 was an important psychological support level.
PI has now almost lost this zone.
If selling pressure continues, the market is very likely to soon test the $0.12 level — or even lower.
The scariest thing right now is:
There is no sign of strong bottom-fishing volume.
This doesn’t look like a “capitulation” to bounce back quickly…
But more like a “slow bleed” — a gradual, prolonged decline that erodes investor confidence.
Crypto is very ruthless.
The market doesn’t reward confidence forever.
In the end, what determines the price remains:
Real utility + real demand + real capital flow.

Many people are looking at the chart to guess:
“Is BTC about to pump or dump?”
But the truly scary thing in crypto has never been price volatility.
It's you standing on the sidelines…
then watching the market run away.
2017:
People laughed at crypto.
2021:
People regretted not buying earlier.
2026:
Many are still waiting for the "perfect" crash to enter.
But the market rarely gives the majority such easy opportunities.
Big money always moves ahead of the news.
Smart money always buys when the timeline is still doubtful.
And by the time the media starts shouting bullish…
the best profit margins for most have already passed.
Crypto is a game of psychology.
Winners aren’t those who predict every wave correctly.
They are those patient enough to survive through market phases that make everyone lose faith.
BTC may still fluctuate in the next 24 hours.
Altcoins may continue to be red.
But the current feeling is very much like phases where:
"the market is quietly preparing for something bigger."
#TradeAIStocksOnOKX
#USTreasuryHits19YrHigh
BTC is having a pretty good rebound after dipping down to the 76.4k area and has now regained the 77.5k level. This shows that defensive buying pressure is still strong at the lower support zone.
On the H1 timeframe, the current structure looks more like an absorption of selling pressure rather than a complete bearish reversal. After a strong shakeout, the market started to show consecutive rebound candles with gradually improving volume. However, the bulls have not fully taken control yet because BTC is still being blocked just below the 77.6k–77.8k resistance zone.
📌 Key areas to watch in the next 24 hours:
🔹 Resistance:
• 77.7k
• 78.2k
• 78.8k
🔹 Support:
• 77k
• 76.7k
• 76.2k
📈 Bullish scenario:
If BTC holds above 77k and decisively breaks 77.7k, there is a high chance of another short squeeze pushing it up to 78.2k–78.8k. At that point, market sentiment could stabilize after the recent shakeup.
📉 Bearish scenario:
If BTC continues to be rejected at the 77.6k–77.8k zone and falls back below 77k, selling pressure could return very quickly. Then the 76.2k and even 75.8k levels will be tested again.
⚠️ My personal assessment:
In the next 24 hours, BTC is highly likely to continue a mild rebound or sideways consolidation before the next major move. Bulls are trying to maintain the short-term structure, but the market is not yet safe enough for strong FOMO.
Currently, this is still the phase of:
"technical recovery in a high volatility environment" rather than confirmation of a new uptrend.

The crypto market is currently still under quite clear pressure.
Bitcoin is fluctuating around the ~76K USD range, but the noteworthy point is not just the price, but the continuous leverage liquidations occurring on both the long and short sides.
This indicates that the market does not have a clear trend yet and is in a phase of "leverage reset."
During such phases:
- Positions using high leverage are usually liquidated first
- Price movements are erratic, prone to fake breakouts
- Market sentiment shifts to caution
Currently, it is not an extreme panic phase, but clearly, a "risk-off" environment is prevailing.
One of the most important factors currently affecting Bitcoin is the cash flow from ETFs.
Recently, Bitcoin ETF funds have recorded a prolonged net outflow. This carries significant implications:
- ETFs represent institutional cash flow
- Continuous outflows naturally create selling pressure
- "Stable" buying power from institutions weakens
The important point is:
ETFs not only impact the short term but also affect the medium-term trend structure of BTC.
For the market to return to a strong uptrend, the prerequisite is that ETF cash flow must return to a stable positive state.
#USTreasuryHits19YrHigh
If we look broadly, crypto no longer operates independently but is heavily dependent on the macro environment.
The two most important factors currently:
1. US interest rates
2. Global liquidity
When bond yields rise and interest rate expectations remain high for longer, capital tends to:
- Move away from risky assets (crypto, growth stocks)
- Shift to safer assets (bonds, USD)
This explains why many recent crypto rallies have been unsustainable:
lacking “liquidity support” from the macro environment.
In other words:
Crypto isn’t short on stories, but it is short on cheap money.
#FedMeetsNVIDIAMay20
An often underestimated factor that strongly affects crypto cash flow is legal regulation.
Currently, the market is in a "half clear, half ambiguous" state:
- There is progress in recognizing crypto and ETFs
- But many questions remain about taxes, supervision, and long-term legal frameworks
This creates a rather unique psychological state:
large investors do not fully withdraw, but also do not dare to significantly increase their holdings.
As a result, the market easily falls into a state of:
- Good news → rapid but short-term increase
- Bad news → stronger than usual reaction
This is a sign of a market that has not yet "stabilized trust."
#FedMeetsNVIDIAMay20
#GoldmanCryptoPivot
If we summarize the entire current context, crypto is being dominated by 3 main pillars:
1. ETF capital flow (institutional capital)
2. Macro liquidity (interest rates, USD, bonds)
3. Sentiment & geopolitical risk
The important points are:
- No factor is currently fully supporting a strong uptrend
- But there is also no factor confirming a prolonged deep downtrend
Therefore, the current market can be simply understood as:
a phase of “accumulation amid volatility.”
In such phases:
- News causes short-term volatility
- But the major trend only forms when capital returns in consensus
What needs to be most closely watched right now is not the price, but the capital flow.
#FedMeetsNVIDIAMay20
#GoldmanCryptoPivot
#OpenAIvsAnthropic
The current geopolitical factor is becoming an important variable directly affecting crypto, although many people often underestimate it.
Tensions between regions (especially related to the Middle East, global trade, and US relations with major economies) can create short-term shocks in the financial markets.
Crypto's reaction to geopolitics is often quite unique:
- When risk rises → the market is usually sold off with a “risk-off” mentality
- When tensions ease → BTC often recovers faster than many traditional assets
The key point is:
crypto is not an absolute safe haven asset, but it reacts very sensitively to global risk fluctuations.
In the short term, geopolitics usually does not create long trends, but it is a strong catalyst for price volatility.
📉 BTC 24H OUTLOOK — BIAS: BEARISH
Currently, BTC is fluctuating around the 76.8k – 77k USD range, right near the short-term support zone. After multiple rejections in the 78k–80k area, the market is showing clear signs of weakness.
⚠️ SHORT-TERM VIEW:
1/ Resistance test failed
BTC keeps getting rejected at the 80k–82k zone → strong selling pressure appears on every rebound.
2/ Weakening price structure
Lower highs are forming → short-term trend leans bearish.
3/ Liquidity vulnerable to being swept
The crypto market has seen many long liquidations recently → price can be pulled down quickly if support breaks.
🎯 24H SCENARIO:
🔻 Main scenario (60–70%): slight decline
- Test 76.5k
- If broken: 75.8k → 75k
⚖️ Technical rebound scenario (30–40%):
- Bounce back to 77.8k – 78.2k
- Then may be sold off again
🚨 Key zone: 76k
Losing this level could lead to a faster expansion of the downside range.
🧠 SUMMARY:
Next 24h trend: mildly bearish / sideway down
Main range: 75k – 78k

$PI is currently trading around $0.15.
Reference trade: SHORT 📉
• Entry: if a weak retracement and volume decrease appear
• Target: lower short-term support zone
• Risk: ecosystem news or speculative capital flow may cause a sudden pump
PI is currently highly volatile and market sentiment remains quite sensitive.
Personal opinion, not investment advice.